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ClimateAP: an application for dynamic local downscaling of historical and future climate data in Asia

Tongli WANG, Guangyu WANG, John L. INNES, Brad SEELY, Baozhang CHEN

《农业科学与工程前沿(英文)》 2017年 第4卷 第4期   页码 448-458 doi: 10.15302/J-FASE-2017172

摘要: While low-to-moderate resolution gridded climate data are suitable for climate-impact modeling at global and ecosystems levels, spatial analyses conducted at local scales require climate data with increased spatial accuracy. This is particularly true for research focused on the evaluation of adaptive forest management strategies. In this study, we developed an application, ClimateAP, to generate scale-free (i.e., specific to point locations) climate data for historical (1901–2015) and future (2011–2100) years and periods. ClimateAP uses the best available interpolated climate data for the reference period 1961–1990 as baseline data. It downscales the baseline data from a moderate spatial resolution to scale-free point data through dynamic local elevation adjustments. It also integrates and downscales the historical and future climate data using a delta approach. In the case of future climate data, two greenhouse gas representative concentration pathways (RCP 4.5 and 8.5) and 15 general circulation models are included to allow for the assessment of alternative climate scenarios. In addition, ClimateAP generates a large number of biologically relevant climate variables derived from primary monthly variables. The effectiveness of the local downscaling was determined based on the strength of the local linear regression for the estimate of lapse rate. The accuracy of the ClimateAP output was evaluated through comparisons of ClimateAP output against observations from 1805 weather stations in the Asia Pacific region. The local linear regression explained 70%–80% and 0%–50% of the total variation in monthly temperatures and precipitation, respectively, in most cases. ClimateAP reduced prediction error by up to 27% and 60% for monthly temperature and precipitation, respectively, relative to the original baselines data. The improvements for baseline portions of historical and future were more substantial. Applications and limitations of the software are discussed.

关键词: biologically relevant climate variables     downscaling     dynamic local regression     future climate     historical climate    

Conservation and adaptive-reuse of historical industrial building in China in the post-industrial era

WANG Jianguo, JIANG Nan

《结构与土木工程前沿(英文)》 2007年 第1卷 第4期   页码 474-480 doi: 10.1007/s11709-007-0064-5

摘要: The conservation and adaptive-reuse of historical industrial building is one of the most important issues to be solved in today s urban development and construction in China. In this paper, the necessity and academic meaning of the conservation and adaptive-reuse of historical industrial building were discussed by reviewing its development rend both at home and abroad, and the basic contents of the implementation of the conservation and adaptive-reuse of historical industrial building in China with specific cases provided were analyzed. It is the central task for China to put forward the restructuring and design methods, assessment principles and relevant core technical specifications based on the empirical researches on the historical industrial building and site.

关键词: historical industrial     industrial building     implementation     adaptive-reuse     empirical    

Performance-based seismic assessment of a historical masonry arch bridge: Effect of pulse-like excitations

《结构与土木工程前沿(英文)》   页码 855-869 doi: 10.1007/s11709-023-0972-z

摘要: Seismic analysis of historical masonry bridges is important for authorities in all countries hosting such cultural heritage assets. The masonry arch bridge investigated in this study was built during the Roman period and is on the island of Rhodes, in Greece. Fifteen seismic records were considered and categorized as far-field, pulse-like near-field, and non-pulse-like near-field. The earthquake excitations were scaled to a target spectrum, and nonlinear time-history analyses were performed in the transverse direction. The performance levels were introduced based on the pushover curve, and the post-earthquake damage state of the bridge was examined. According to the results, pulse-like near-field events are more damaging than non-pulse-like near-field ground motions. Additionally the bridge is more vulnerable to far-field excitations than near-field events. Furthermore, the structure will suffer extensive post-earthquake damage and must be retrofitted.

关键词: masonry arch bridges     seismic behavior     modal properties     pulse-like records     nonlinear time history analysis    

浅水富营养化湖泊巢湖汞的历史沉积记录——人类活动和气候变化的影响 Article

张含笑, 霍守亮, Kevin M. Yeager, 席北斗, 张靖天, 吴丰昌

《工程(英文)》 2019年 第5卷 第2期   页码 296-304 doi: 10.1016/j.eng.2018.11.022

摘要:

汞(Hg)及其衍生物作为危险的环境污染物,其生物毒性、生物累积和放大作用对水生生态系统和人类健康造成潜在风险。沉积物柱芯可为湖泊历史污染过程提供重要信息,追溯人类活动或自然条件变化的影响。本研究以浅水富营养化湖泊——巢湖为例,解析巢湖沉积物中汞的百年历史变化及其受人类活动和气候变化的影响。结果表明,巢湖汞的沉积经历了3个阶段(20世纪60年代前、20世纪60—80年代和20世纪80年代后)。20世纪60年代前,沉积物柱芯汞含量的变化趋势不显著,且东、西湖区无空间差异;20世纪60—80年代,沉积物汞的浓度逐渐升高,西湖区的汞浓度高于东湖区,主要与西湖区受人为污染较重有关;通过分析沉积物汞与重金属(铁、钴、铬、铜、锰、铅、锌)、碳氮稳定同位素(δ13C 和 δ15N)、营养物质、粒度和气象因子的关系,揭示了人类活动、水动力条件和气候变化对巢湖汞沉积的影响,发现20 世纪60年代以后沉积物剖面的汞浓度明显升高,主要是由于水动力条件变化和流域经济快速发展导致了人为源汞输入的增长。此外,温度、风速和蒸发量对汞的环境行为和归趋产生交互复杂影响。

关键词: 湖泊沉积物         剖面分布     人为活动    

中国极端降水和高温历史变化及未来趋势

舒章康,李文鑫,张建云,金君良,薛晴,王银堂,胡庆芳,王国庆

《中国工程科学》 2022年 第24卷 第5期   页码 116-125 doi: 10.15302/J-SSCAE-2022.05.014

摘要:

在全球变暖背景下,我国极端事件频发,了解和掌握极端事件的时空变化,合理预估极端事件的未来趋势,可为制定区域气候变化适应策略提供理论依据。本文利用CN05.1 全国网格气象数据和第六次国际耦合模式比较计划(CMIP6)的11 种全球气候模式,分析了我国1975—2014 年历史极端降水和高温事件的演变特征,研判了2015—2054 年极端事件的变化情况,提出了应对极端事件的政策建议。结果表明:① 1975—2014 年,全国强降水量呈现由西北向东南依次增加‒ 减少‒增加的空间格局,胡焕庸线以东地区极端降水风险和危险性较大;在选取的两种对比情景下,2015—2054 年,我国极端降水将普遍增多趋强,其中华北和东北地区极端降水事件增幅较大,西北地区强降水量将进一步增加。② 我国1975—2014 年暖夜日数和暖昼日数均呈显著增加趋势,暖夜日数增幅高于暖昼日数增幅;在选取的两种对比情景下,2015—2054 年,我国极端高温事件将显著增加,西北、西南和华南等地区的高温热浪风险增幅最大。为减缓气候变化影响和应对未来极端事件风险,应进一步提升洪涝灾害和高温热浪风险应对和应急管理能力,强化国际合作并因地制宜制定相关适应气候变化战略,以防范和应对全球变暖引起的极端灾害。

关键词: 气候变化;极端事件;CMIP6;极端灾害应对    

Responding to the Paris Climate Agreement: global climate change mitigation efforts

Yong GENG, Tsuyoshi FUJITA, Anthony CHIU, Hancheng DAI, Han HAO

《能源前沿(英文)》 2018年 第12卷 第3期   页码 333-337 doi: 10.1007/s11708-018-0587-6

摘要:

关键词: valign=     top     class=     J_zhaiyao    

The most influential “Top 10 Events” in carbon neutrality and climate change in 2022

《能源前沿(英文)》 2023年 第17卷 第1期   页码 1-4 doi: 10.1007/s11708-023-0869-5

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BUILDING CLIMATE-RESILIENT FOOD SYSTEMS IN EAST AND SOUTHEAST ASIA: VULNERABILITIES, RESPONSES AND FINANCING

《农业科学与工程前沿(英文)》 2023年 第10卷 第1期   页码 16-30 doi: 10.15302/J-FASE-2023492

摘要:

● Food systems in East and Southeast Asia are vulnerable to global warming.

关键词: food systems     climate change     East     policy     resilience and Southeast Asia    

Tackling climate change and promoting the energy revolution

Xiangwan DU

《能源前沿(英文)》 2018年 第12卷 第3期   页码 338-343 doi: 10.1007/s11708-018-0535-5

摘要:

Following the Paris Agreement, green and low-carbon development has entered into a new stage. China’s international responsibility to combat climate change is consistent with the inherent sustainable development needs of the country. In this paper, the reasonability of China’s Intended Nationally Determined Contributions (INDC) is examined and the fact that low-carbon development can lead to modernization is demonstrated based on data analysis of energy economics from developed countries. Considering the fact that such an energy revolution forms the basis for China’s low-carbon transition, a roadmap of the China’s energy utilization is presented. Based on research results from the Chinese Academy of Engineering, the three historical stages of China’s energy structure reform are analyzed. Promoting a low-carbon transition through an energy revolution is a long-term and arduous process that requires a genuine transformation of development outlook and patterns. By empirically analyzing situations at home and abroad, a conclusion is made that economic development and a low-carbon transition can be achieved simultaneously; specifically, low-carbon development fosters new points of economic growth and gives rise to different development paths.

关键词: climate change     Paris Agreement     low-carbon transition     energy revolution    

Evaluation of the influence of El Niño–Southern Oscillation on air quality in southern China from long-term historical

《环境科学与工程前沿(英文)》 2022年 第16卷 第2期 doi: 10.1007/s11783-021-1460-0

摘要:

•Strong ENSO influence on AOD is found in southern China region.

关键词: El Niño–Southern Oscillation     Aerosol concentration     Aerosol particle size     Contribution separation     Decadal trend     Southern China    

关于气候变化的哲学思考

李佩成

《中国工程科学》 2008年 第10卷 第11期   页码 7-13

摘要:

从哲学的基本原理出发,引用地史及水文气象资料探讨了全球气候变化问题,指出全球气候一直在变化;气候变化的动力主要在天在地而不在人;当今的气候变化可能只是气候变化总过程中的一个波动阶段而非永远的趋势,且其变幅并未超出历史上气候变化的范畴。因此,不能断言全球气候变暖是由于人为排放CO2所致。所以对于不同时空条件下的气候变化应当具体矛盾具体分析具体解决,进而提出了中国应对气候变化的对策建议。

关键词: 气候变化     哲学思考     全球气候变暖     温室气体    

Comparison and analysis of energy consumption of energy-efficient office buildings in different climate

Ke ZHANG, Neng ZHU

《能源前沿(英文)》 2013年 第7卷 第3期   页码 399-405 doi: 10.1007/s11708-013-0260-z

摘要: The purpose of this paper is to analyze the energy consumption (EC) and find out the determining factors of energy-efficient office building cases according to specific case studies in typical cities of different climate zones in China. The investigated building cases were located in four cities (Beijing, Ningbo, Nanjing and Shenzhen) of three architecture thermotechnical design zones (cold zone, hot summer and cold winter zone, hot summer and warm winter zone). The analysis indicates that the energy consumption index (ECI) of these four cases ranges from 41.06 to 74.23 kW·h/(m ·a). Besides, the outdoor climate can change the EC of air conditioning/heating systems, and further determine the monthly volatility of the total EC of the whole building.

关键词: energy-efficient building     breakdown energy consumption (EC)     energy consumption index (ECI)     different climate zone    

Impacts of climate change on optimal mixture design of blended concrete considering carbonation and chloride

Xiao-Yong WANG

《结构与土木工程前沿(英文)》 2020年 第14卷 第2期   页码 473-486 doi: 10.1007/s11709-020-0608-5

摘要: Many studies on the mixture design of fly ash and slag ternary blended concrete have been conducted. However, these previous studies did not consider the effects of climate change, such as acceleration in the deterioration of durability, on mixture design. This study presents a procedure for the optimal mixture design of ternary blended concrete considering climate change and durability. First, the costs of CO emissions and material are calculated based on the concrete mixture and unit prices. Total cost is equal to the sum of material cost and CO emissions cost, and is set as the objective function of the optimization. Second, strength, slump, carbonation, and chloride ingress models are used to evaluate concrete properties. The effect of different climate change scenarios on carbonation and chloride ingress is considered. A genetic algorithm is used to find the optimal mixture considering various constraints. Third, illustrative examples are shown for mixture design of ternary blended concrete. The analysis results show that for ternary blended concrete exposed to an atmospheric environment, a rich mix is necessary to meet the challenge of climate change, and for ternary blended concrete exposed to a marine environment, the impact of climate change on mixture design is marginal.

关键词: ternary blended concrete     climate change     optimal mixture design     carbonation     chloride ingress    

Climate change and its consequences for water and wastewater management

Peter A. WILDERER

《环境科学与工程前沿(英文)》 2009年 第3卷 第1期   页码 1-1 doi: 10.1007/s11783-009-0001-z

摘要: Life, in combination with solar radiation and abiotic processes, is most probably the reason why liquid water has existed on Earth for over billions of years, and the global mean temperature has remained in a life-enabling range. Efforts to limit or even reverse global warming must be derived from the knowledge of the Earth’s complex life-support system. In this context, the balance between liquid and gaseous water plays a crucial role, and water management becomes an important field of innovation and action, globally, on the scale of watersheds but also on the very local level. Cascading use, reuse, and temporary storage of water in urban settings must be considered to limit over-extraction of water from natural resources, and to maintain the life supporting function of ecosystems. At the same time, public health requirements, cost efficiency, and reliability demands are to be met.

关键词: ecosystem     management tools     self-regulation     urbanization     water-climate relationship     water reuse    

China’s Agriculture Green Development: from Concept to Actions

《农业科学与工程前沿(英文)》 doi: 10.15302/J-FASE-2023512

摘要:

● A target-threshold indicator evaluation system is proposed to measure China’s agriculture transformation.

关键词: agricultural transformation     Agriculture Green Development     historical trend     indicator system     theoretical conception    

标题 作者 时间 类型 操作

ClimateAP: an application for dynamic local downscaling of historical and future climate data in Asia

Tongli WANG, Guangyu WANG, John L. INNES, Brad SEELY, Baozhang CHEN

期刊论文

Conservation and adaptive-reuse of historical industrial building in China in the post-industrial era

WANG Jianguo, JIANG Nan

期刊论文

Performance-based seismic assessment of a historical masonry arch bridge: Effect of pulse-like excitations

期刊论文

浅水富营养化湖泊巢湖汞的历史沉积记录——人类活动和气候变化的影响

张含笑, 霍守亮, Kevin M. Yeager, 席北斗, 张靖天, 吴丰昌

期刊论文

中国极端降水和高温历史变化及未来趋势

舒章康,李文鑫,张建云,金君良,薛晴,王银堂,胡庆芳,王国庆

期刊论文

Responding to the Paris Climate Agreement: global climate change mitigation efforts

Yong GENG, Tsuyoshi FUJITA, Anthony CHIU, Hancheng DAI, Han HAO

期刊论文

The most influential “Top 10 Events” in carbon neutrality and climate change in 2022

期刊论文

BUILDING CLIMATE-RESILIENT FOOD SYSTEMS IN EAST AND SOUTHEAST ASIA: VULNERABILITIES, RESPONSES AND FINANCING

期刊论文

Tackling climate change and promoting the energy revolution

Xiangwan DU

期刊论文

Evaluation of the influence of El Niño–Southern Oscillation on air quality in southern China from long-term historical

期刊论文

关于气候变化的哲学思考

李佩成

期刊论文

Comparison and analysis of energy consumption of energy-efficient office buildings in different climate

Ke ZHANG, Neng ZHU

期刊论文

Impacts of climate change on optimal mixture design of blended concrete considering carbonation and chloride

Xiao-Yong WANG

期刊论文

Climate change and its consequences for water and wastewater management

Peter A. WILDERER

期刊论文

China’s Agriculture Green Development: from Concept to Actions

期刊论文